This is a wild turn around from 2 days ago when Gallup said they were tied. This author can't believe the wide swings in polling results. Obviously polling is not true science, but rather voodoo science.
Being within 8 points of the correct answer in a 2 person race is not anywhere at all acceptable. Statistical methods are supposed to control for raw data aberrations. 8, 10, and 15 point swings are simply not tolerable.
Course it's similar to predictions as to who will be the #1 team in March Madness (referring to a college basketball tournament here in the US for all of our overseas readers). That's why we play the game.
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